Ohio State vs. Texas: Clash of Titans in the College Football Playoff Semifinals
The stage is set for one of the most anticipated matchups of the 2024 College Football Playoff as the Ohio State Buckeyes take on the Texas Longhorns. Both teams have navigated unique challenges this season, and this semifinal clash promises to deliver high-stakes drama with a national championship berth on the line. Let’s dive deep into the matchup, breaking down everything from betting odds to key strategies that will determine the outcome.
—
Betting Overview: Ohio State vs. Texas
According to DraftKings Sportsbook, Ohio State enters the game as a slight favorite, reflecting their recent dominance in the postseason. The spread is set at -4.5 in favor of the Buckeyes, while the over/under is pegged at 52.5 points. Historically, Ohio State has thrived as a single-digit favorite, covering all three such games this season. Texas, on the other hand, has struggled against the spread, finishing 3-6 in their last nine contests despite a strong overall record.
Spread: Ohio State -4.5
Moneyline: Ohio State -192, Texas +160
Over/Under: 52.5 points
Game Time: Friday, Jan. 10, 7:30 p.m. ET
Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
How to Watch: ESPN
Both teams have hit the over in back-to-back playoff games, suggesting fireworks could be on the horizon.
—
Ohio State’s Path to the Semifinal
Ohio State has been nothing short of sensational since their regular-season losses to Oregon and Michigan. With head coach Ryan Day under immense pressure to deliver in the playoffs, the Buckeyes have responded in dominant fashion. They dismantled Tennessee 42-17 in the opening round before cruising past Oregon 41-21.
A key to Ohio State’s resurgence has been their defensive transformation. Defensive coordinator Jim Knowles’ decision to move Jordan Hancock to a single-high safety role in a Cover 1-heavy scheme has paid dividends. This adjustment unlocked Caleb Downs’ versatility near the line of scrimmage, creating a defense that has allowed just 12.5 points per game down the stretch.
Offensively, Ohio State boasts a wealth of talent, with Jeremiah Smith, Emeka Egbuka, TreVeyon Henderson, and Quinshon Judkins leading the charge. Their balanced attack has proven difficult for any defense to contain, and they’ll look to exploit Texas’ vulnerabilities.
—
Texas’ Road to the Final Four
The Longhorns, led by head coach Steve Sarkisian, have endured a rollercoaster season. After suffering two losses to Georgia during the regular season, Texas rebounded with a statement win over Clemson, 38-24, in the quarterfinals. They followed it up with a nail-biting double-overtime victory against Arizona State, 39-31.
While quarterback Quinn Ewers has shown flashes of brilliance, his inconsistency under pressure remains a concern. His performance against Arizona State—322 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception—was impressive on paper, but his decision-making under duress continues to be a liability. Additionally, Texas struggled in key areas, including special teams (two missed field goals) and the rushing attack (1.8 yards per carry), exposing cracks in their armor.
—
Keys to the Game: Ohio State’s Defense vs. Texas’ Offense
This game will likely hinge on Ohio State’s ferocious defense against Texas’ dynamic, albeit inconsistent, offense.
Ohio State has been relentless in the trenches, recording 12 sacks in two playoff games. With Texas ranking 60th in early-down EPA and 30th in success rate, the Longhorns face an uphill battle against a Buckeyes defense that ranks third and 11th in those respective categories.
Ewers must elevate his game, as Ohio State’s defensive front is poised to exploit his pocket awareness issues. Meanwhile, Texas’ defense must contend with Ohio State’s explosive offensive playmakers
